Papa John’s: Trying to Slice Schnatter out of the Brand

The last couple of weeks have not been good for John Schnatter and his Papa John’s pizza empire. After using a racial slur during a conference call with his media agency, losing his job, watching the removal of Papa John’s name at the University of Louisville’s Cardinal Stadium, imploding marketing relationships with a handful of NFL teams and talking trash about the NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell, Schnatter was physically barred from Papa John’s Louisville headquarters.

I’ve left out a half dozen other things he and the brand have forfeited during this downward spiral but suffice to say, it’s been ugly.

It should be ugly and absolute and painful. What he said was atrocious and the follow-up missteps were pretty awful. This shows that even when your name (even a self-created nickname) is on the building, you’re not bigger than the brand.

There are some interesting things that happen when a company’s brand is built around a person. The accelerated humanizing of a brand when it uses an individual as it’s moniker is appealing and the business case for doing so is a proven model. We’ve recently watched several Jenner offspring create successful businesses based off their names and notoriety even if they personally had no expertise or unique value proposition to offer. The downside, of course, is losing the ability to create separation between the person and the brand.

When the person does some really dumb things, defrauds investors or shows they are just a terrible human being, the brand struggles to re-identify as a separate entity. What got them here was the person as the brand. When a founder becomes radioactive, the brand is identified with that as well.

Even when the founder is the implied brand of the company, the brand runs a significant risk that whole human being may have serious flaws.

For example, Apple was Steve Jobs. Most would say that brand/ persona fusion worked well; creating a religious-like consumer following. Steve was far from perfect. He spent decades disavowing his daughter and tormenting employees who didn’t get his way of doing things. Fortunately for him and Apple, he later recanted on both fronts and it certainly didn’t hurt that the products his company produced were extraordinarily good.

Likewise, Theranos was Elizabeth Holmes. Read any story written about Theranos from the early glory days through the post-meltdown autopsies and more than 90% of the article will be about Holmes the person. Partially that’s because the whole thing was a scam and there really wasn’t anything there. She garnered $9 billion in investment based on her persona. The technology was always promised as an output of her unmitigated will. She was Theranos.

These two examples are the physical incarnations of this founder-as-a-brand risk/reward consideration. Apple would never have been the Apple of today without Jobs. Theranos would never have raised $9 billion on a fraudulent business model if it wasn’t centered around Holmes.

Twenty years ago, a well-drafted PR statement, a public mea culpa from the offending founder and a sizeable donation to charities that specifically combat the kind of behavior they displayed would suffice to smooth things over.

People now are far less likely to let these indiscretions slide and hold founders responsible for their behavior. Consumers know purchasing power and their ability to mobilize like-mindedness are powerful tools to get companies to listen to their concerns and take actions to correct mistakes.

During the next three weeks, executives at Papa John’s will be deep in damage control mode. Drastic steps, including changing the name of the company will, at least, be discussed. The brand now shares the toxicity of the founder’s name.

Public-facing founders play a major role in developing a successful brand but no matter how big or successful a company may be, the consumer ultimately determines what the brand is worth.

Ben Boycott Joins Redhawk

Redhawk Consulting, LLC is pleased to announce that Ben Boycott has joined Redhawk to lead the consulting practice’s non-profit, finance and due-diligence projects. Ben spent the last 4 years at Vapor Ministries where, during his tenure as President & COO, the ministry grew significantly in reach, effectiveness and financial efficiency.

Ben will add tactical finance, non-profit and due-diligence experience to the Redhawk team and its clients. “We are excited to have Ben on the team. Very few people can drive execution through an organization like Ben. His talents add functional depth to Redhawk’s consulting practice and we can’t wait to share those talents with our clients,” said Matt Hottle, Redhawk’s Founder.

The excitement is mutual according to Boycott, “I am thrilled to be working as a part of the highly capable team at Redhawk. They have established a reputation as a significant value-add resource for innovative entrepreneurs, and we are eager to continue to drive groundbreaking results for small businesses.”

Redhawk Consulting, LLC provide consulting, coaching and advisory services to small business owners, startups and emerging businesses. Having worked with more than 50 management teams over the last 4 years, Redhawk has become the authority for businesses looking to exceed their growth and success expectations. www.redhawkresults.com

Episode 2: I Get By With A Little Help From My Friends

In this podcast, we talk about the importance of the startup ecosystem. From providing cohorts and mentors to creating a culture of expertise, the startups around you will have an effect on whether you succeed or fail.

This can be challenging, because building relationships with people who aren’t your consumers or your backers can feel off-task, but that support system can help in ways you can’t anticipate. In our example, we talk about a local Birmingham neighborhood where retail storefronts looked out for each other.

Preparing to Scale Your Business

 

Scaling at any cost has become a strategic roadmap for too many companies. Over the years, it seems this is the common playbook being run by high tech startups—especially if they’re VC backed. From certain perspectives and assuming certain motivations, that can be totally understandable. Your investors are looking for 10X or even 100X returns (however unrealistic that may be), and that only happens if the companies can quickly add ridiculous amounts of users, customers, or some other measure of market capture. The problem, of course, is that most companies have no idea how to do this and how to avoid the inevitable outcome—the company grows too fast, makes some unrecoverable mistakes, and becomes another Icarus-like cautionary tale of startup failure.

Incremental growth can be challenging enough without adding unnecessary velocity. At some point, you’ll get to the fork in the road between staying at your current size and scale or deciding to take steps to grow the business. Payroll is being met. Clients are happy. Bills are being paid on time. Customers are being acquired. It could be a logical conclusion that this is a perfectly satisfactory place to remain. Most entrepreneurs, however, are not happy with their current scale, size, or capabilities. They remain focused on growth forever.

Planning to scale a business isn’t difficult, but it requires some discipline. Using Marcus Lemonis’s Three Ps approach, we can break it into those categories.

People

Scaling your human capital and capabilities is foundational for successful growth. Consider the following:

  • What jobs and tasks are the founders doing that need to be delegated? How will you prepare people to take on those responsibilities, and what resources will be required to do so?
  • Do you have the right people in the right spots?
    • Right Person + Wrong Spot = can you find a better spot/role/job for them?
    • Wrong Person + Right Spot = how will you replace that person?
    • Wrong Person + Wrong Spot = position eliminated
    • Right Person + Right Spot = congrats!
  • Whose job will be expanding or changing? How will you plan to support that change?

Product

Products don’t always scale easily.

  • How will your production and logistics requirements change? Can you make more and deliver it as efficiency at scale as you previously have?
  • Are there smaller product offerings that simply can’t scale with the rest of the product line? Do those products get eliminated?
  • Any implementation/rollout/delivery issues created with additional product sales? How will you mitigate those issues?
  • How will you preserve quality?

Process

This trips up more companies than anything else. Having processes that people can follow and execute autonomously is crucial.

  • Are your processes documented and available for people to access/review/use?
  • What processes can only be executed by specific individuals? What is the plan for eliminating that bottleneck?
  • Are your processes current and are they still relevant at scale?
  • Where are your processes likely to fail at scale and what could cause that failure? How will you try to futureproof those procedures?

This, of course, is only a partial list but cover the high points. I would say these are equally weighted and only working through one or two of these is not sufficient. Growth is exciting and is the fundamental point of having a business for most of us. Companies can grow exponentially and actually make less money than before that growth occurred if has been poorly planned.

How Small-City Startups Can Get the Funds They Need

Small cities can be uniquely positioned to help startups get up and running. With lower costs to operate, less competition for resources, and high levels of public interest in new companies spinning up, smaller markets can be great incubators. Despite those tailwinds, companies in smaller cities often struggle to find private investment funding. It’s not that there isn’t any money to be invested—quite the contrary. Most metropolitan areas have at least one anchor industry creating wealth that spans multiple generations. Economic development organizations bring public money to the table as well.

Creating a minimally viable product and proving market traction are normally required before a startup lands sizeable investment money. Building that MVP and proving market validity takes time and money that many new ventures don’t have.

When founders decide to take on a funding partner, they often think in terms of securing $500k or more. That kind of investment falls in a gap that normally goes unfunded—too small for institutional investment and too big for individual investors. Pre-revenue startups who want to raise a year’s or more worth of runway in a single round are often left without any dance partners.

The fragmented nature of private individual investors, relatively finite size of public money offering, and the follow-on investment plays of institutional funds perpetuate this seed funding gap.

Overcoming this gap requires founders to change their thinking.

Step 1: Take a strategic look at what it will take to create the MVP. Consider what kind of money and resources it requires, and strip out anything that isn’t absolutely crucial.

Step 2: Determine how you’ll prove market traction. Whether that includes landing the first customer, attracting users, or building models around credible survey data, plan for this before you ever determine how much money you’ll need to raise and how quickly you’ll need to raise it.

Step 3: Complete the financial projections to determine the amount you absolutely need to pull off Steps 1 and 2. Decide how much equity you’re willing to give up (hint: it will be more than you want to give up).

Operating under the assumption that this seed funding won’t get you very far—only to the point of launching an MVP and proving market validity—the new funding number is likely far smaller than $500k. If the numbers fall between $50k and $120k, you could very well find an individual investor or small group of investors who shares your vision and is willing to risk cash in exchange for a sizeable chunk of equity.

Once you’ve launched the MVP and proved market traction, the size and options for investment funding expand. Not only will local sources of investment be more readily available, but investors from other cities, areas, or regions may be more approachable as well. Closing the funding gap is something pre-revenue startups can do for themselves as long as they tailor their timeline, product development, and overall approach to the funding sources available.

For Most Startups, Revenue Isn’t Optional

Your logo is badass, your product or service sounds really innovative and those business cards seem to be made out of some kind of cheetah fur.

I’m interested in hearing about how you plan to scale your user base and grow your adoption rates. I’m also interested in hearing about what conferences you are going to attend, the panels you plan to participate in and how you will attract that rock star CTO.

But I’m more interested in how you’re going to make money, how much you’re going to generate and when you’ll be at breakeven.

At some point in the not so distant past, there was a slide in a pitch deck that showed a potential revenue number against some trillion-dollar market opportunity that may or may not actually exist. Investors got excited about that logo, those sick business cards and that recruiting plan for the Michael Jordan of CTOs and stroked some funding checks.

Seven months later, you’re planning your four-month-long schedule for raising a second round because your expenses have outpaced your revenue faster than expected.

You had to re-design your UX, improve your security back-end and launch an expansive social media campaign. You gained thousands of users, received a few accolades for your startup and generated some revenue. You didn’t hire that sales guy you knew you needed or re-price the product to improve margins and instead spent that time, money and energy on making a better product and gaining users. Unfortunately, that sagging revenue is shortening your runway.

In a startup, you’re constantly prioritizing and reprioritizing work. The tension between product development, creating scale and maintaining positive numbers on your balance sheet can be a daily struggle. There are always more things to do than you have the resources to complete.

Generating revenue should be your top priority.

Like it or not, generating sales revenue is the path for success for most startups. Venture capital passes on all but a few of the deals they are pitched and less than half the tech startups will even attempt to pitch VCs. There may be no investor cash available.

We see the Techcrunch headlines and Medium articles about the startups that sold for $50 million even though they never actually created an operational profit for themselves or their investors. Behind that small selection of successes lie the other 90% of startups that folded. Running out of money is usually cited in most of these collapses as a primary cause.

Think about the optionality sales revenue provides.

  • The option of pivoting your offering.
  • The option of going after your competitors more aggressively.
  • The option of taking a risk on a new set of features or an additional product line.
  • The option of reinvesting the profits back into the growth of the company.
  • The option of upgrading your human capital.
  • The option of taking on additional investors or bootstrapping your growth.

Sales revenue also provides a wider margin for failure. Your financial projections, budgets and planning are mostly works of fiction so when something doesn’t go the way you need, that extra cash will certainly help you smooth out that rough spot.

Lastly, generating positive cash flow is a signal to future investors, employees, vendors, and other stakeholders that the product is viable and worth their participation.

Sales isn’t as fun or sexy to talk about as UX or branding. You usually can’t do it at 2am or between rounds at the shuffleboard table. But if the rest of you want to eat, you need a solid sales program staffed with competent, motivated people. If you’re not sure where to start, give me a call.

Venture Capital May Stop Unicorn-Hunting

A few months ago, Oscar Williams-Grut wrote a great piece in Business Insider talking about the shift in investing interest from “unicorns” to what he coined “cockroaches.” His definition of a cockroach was a company that could survive anything. These were companies that were more interested in profits, self-funding, minimizing costs, and measured growth. Certainly a departure from the kinds of pre-revenue VC darlings that received massive funding in 2014 and 2015.

I was surprised that his article didn’t gain more traction and that #cockroaches didn’t become a thing.

At present, he is looking prophetic.

Theranos has all but imploded. Twitter is looking a lot less shiny than it once did. Zenefits is worth half what it was a year ago. Tesla cars are driving themselves into other objects at high speed.

During last year’s $4.2 billion spike in private investment deals, 59% of that total went to just three companies: Airbnb, Spotify, and Zenefits. There were 39 other “tech” deals in that same period for the remaining 41% of the $4.2 million. That’s a lot of investment money living in only 42 companies.

With this kind of concentration in private investment, fund-raising that used to be an incredible long-shot for the average non-valley-based startup just became impossible. At some point, the money is all spent.

Theranos, Twitter, and Zenefits could turn it around. With that much investor money involved, the sunk cost fallacy should encourage investors to pour in more cash if things get dire. If, however, these companies improve PE and VC rationalizations in value and fund-raising, that could be a very good thing for the rest of us.

Potential, rather than probability, has been favored for a long time among the millionaires providing VC cash to build various funds. The biggest of gambles were worth it because it only required 1 in 15 startup investments to actually make it. Now that ratio seems to be slipping further and private investment may find incremental growth far sexier than it did in the past. Risk mitigation, at some point, becomes a basic fiduciary responsibility and cockroach companies could benefit from that shift in investment theory.

Here are three fundamental shifts I predict could happen in the next 18 months:

  1. VCs start putting together “balanced” funds that act more like low-risk securities. Filled with smaller investments across more “bets,” these funds start to look for companies that exhibit clear paths to profits. This would also create a way to attract lower net worth investors to a fund.
  2. VC money will shelve tech-for-consumer concepts in favor of tech-for-business solutions. Private investment money isn’t willing to put down the app develop crack pipe just yet, but they will look more closely at those companies creating B2B applications as that market is, historically, less capricious.
  3. PE firms will be increasingly interested in finding opportunities in non-traditional hotbeds. GE Capital just partnered with Lamppost Group on their new logistics accelerator, Dynamo, in Chattanooga, Tennessee. There is a concentration of capital in a handful of places in the US, but ideas and innovation are not landlocked. The return on invested capital will be far greater in less expensive locales.

Of course, I could be completely wrong. Money can be inherently dumb and illogical. Companies who’ll champion the moniker of “cockroach” will focus on the things that make them hard to kill. Their survivalist mindset will lead to different decisions than one betting on run-rates, future value, and traffic monetization.

 

 

Johnny Cash and the Necessity of Holistic Operational Design

Entrepreneurs are often fortunate to effectively deal with the recurring issues immediately in front of them. The exercises of forethought and long-term planning are luxuries in most cases. The problem comes when this condition persists for a meaningful period of time. Without taking the time to try and create a 10,000 foot view of their business, many entrepreneurs end up implementing processes meant only to serve a single purpose or solve an immediate problem. This condition is usually not intentional and it likely evolved into its current state because of one or more of the following.

  1. Business processes were built on top of each other. Like Lego pieces, the leadership kept piling up business rules, tech and resources. This happens many times as a firm starts to grow faster or the product lines become broader than originally anticipated. As these new processes and systems are added, the old ones are not dismantled or modified and this creates confusion as the old rules and new rules often contradict each other.
  2. People are added to fill narrow responsibilities- not compliment the whole. New tasks and responsibilities are regularly created in a growing company and when all the current roles are considered “maxed out,” the go-to response for many companies is to hire more people.The problem here is that we fail to look at how existing positions or responsibilities should change to create a more efficient team. Instead, the new position is assigned one core task with several ancillary low value activities to create a complete position. Repeating this cycle a few times creates a bloated and under-utilized workforce.
  3. Organizations kill their effectiveness by creating a “Strategy Du Jour.” I love working with entrepreneurial clients because they are, by their very nature, dreamers and strive to chase new opportunities every day. Unfortunately, this phenomenon may be the most value-destroying thing an owner or C-Suite leader can do. You have seen it (or done it yourself) before. Owner/ CEO/ Senior Leader calls a meeting and lays out a half-baked thought on the latest (fill in the blank) opportunity. Very little detail is communicated about how this will be implemented, what will be de-prioritized as a result or how resources should be utilized. Conversely, expectations for flawless execution are clearly conveyed. In a matter of minutes, everyone in the room now has multiple top priorities with almost no idea of how to actually pull off this new ask. It is tough to commit to a shared, all-encompassing and durable strategy but when you are constantly asking the majority of available resources to chase the latest whim, you create incredible conflict between the various priorities.

Before you realize it, the whole operation is being held together by a series of systems and processes that may have nothing to do with each other. If you think this is nuts, consider your own organization:

  • Could you ask three different people to map out how your product moves from creation through customer delivery and have all three maps resemble each other?
  • Can you point to the specific business case for each of your processes?
  • Do have at least a handful of processes that contradict each other?

Chances are, your organization experiences one or more of these every day.

One of my favorite Johnny Cash songs is “One Piece at a Time” where he describes stealing individual parts from a Cadillac assembly line over several years in order to build a whole car. Once he has all the pieces needed, he starts to put the car together.

“Now, up to now my plan went all right
‘Til we tried to put it all together one night
And that’s when we noticed that something was definitely wrong.

The transmission was a fifty three
And the motor turned out to be a seventy three
And when we tried to put in the bolts all the holes were gone.

The back end looked kinda funny too
But we put it together and when we got through
Well, that’s when we noticed that we only had one tail-fin…”

“One Piece at a Time”- Johnny Cash

Notwithstanding the obvious value of quoting Johnny Cash in any form, the song illustrates what happens when we only consider individual pieces and not the “whole” of the organization. In Johnny’s case, he got a really ugly Cadillac. In your case, you may have ended up with a really ugly operational model.

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